IvyArcIvyArc
5

Green Sparkle

2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 64

Bellewstown · Racing TV Nursery Handicap · 7f 195y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Appealing pedigree but looks a stable lesser light on early evidence and needs to show appreciably more now switching to handicap company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f GF 12819/07C8C0 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/08C?C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 12818/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Roscommon?10th10th0
2026-08-09Curragh?10th10th0
2026-07-19Curragh?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/079/0818/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +22.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
09/08/202610th50/10%31%+0.31
18/08/202610th66/10%18%+0.18