IvyArcIvyArc
2

Ippy

2yo Filly · 10-1 · OR 73

Bellewstown · Racing TV Nursery Handicap · 7f 195y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed something like debut form in a refitted hood when third of 14 in maiden at Down Royal (7f, good) 27 days ago. Opening mark demands more but probably hasn't yet shown her all.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f211y Gd 1292/07C8C8 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m Yie 12230/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f27y Goo 1264/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?3rd3rd0
2026-08-30Cork?15th15th0
2026-07-02Bellewstown?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0730/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +17.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20265th50/10%50%+0.50
30/08/202615th11/142%0%-0.42
04/09/20263rd100/10%85%+0.85