6

Sister Nancy

2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 64

Bellewstown · Racing TV Nursery Handicap · 7f 195y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a bit more than on debut when sixth of 9 in 1m maiden over C&D in July. Failed to repeat that effort at Gowran 9 weeks later but still showed signs of inexperience. Hood back on for handicap bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f60y Goo 12831/05C8C8 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f211y Gd 1272/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 1281/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?12th12th0
2026-07-02Bellewstown?6th6th0
2026-05-31Listowel?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/052/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%

Delivery trend -15.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
02/07/20266th7/163%38%-0.26
01/09/202612th150/10%27%+0.27