3
Violet Be Humble
2yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 70
Bellewstown · Racing TV Nursery Handicap · 7f 195y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |