2
Tax Me Later
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 77
Bellewstown · Bellewstown Inn Fillies Maiden · 7f 195y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Bellewstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -76.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |