3

Valerie O

3yo Filly · 9-3

Bellewstown · Bellewstown Inn Fillies Maiden · 7f 195y

#5

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

Nando Parrado filly. Went with no promise when beating only a single rival in a 17-runner maiden at Fairyhouse 10 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 16.0 /10 (raw 16.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 12921/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Fairyhouse?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 14-19 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength3%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/202616th300/10%6%+0.06