4
White Sand Beach
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 79
Bellewstown · Bellewstown Inn Fillies Maiden · 7f 195y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/6
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength23%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | 1 | 8th | -1th | +7 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA85 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | 1 | 12th | 3rd | +7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 04/05/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 94% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |