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5

Glen Breeze

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 49

Bellewstown · Bluegrass Horse Feed Handicap (0-60) · 7f 195y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed previous promise when winning in this grade at Limerick (7f, good to firm) in July. Back on a handy mark if building on his latest 3¾-length fifth at Dundalk (1m) 6 days ago and still relatively unexposed over this trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA44 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 44 · 6f Goo 120 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 44 par5/0644OR 44BHA45 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 119 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 45 parBHA44 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 44 · 6f Goo 120 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 44 par1/0744OR 44BHA46 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 46 · 6f150y Gd 126 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 46 parBHA55 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 55 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 55 par25/0755OR 55BHA55 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 55 · 6f Yie 137 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 55 parBHA55 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 55 · 7f94y Yie 132 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 55 par31/0855OR 55BHA51 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 51 · 5f Gd 133 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 51 parBHA49 @ Dundalk 25/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m Std 129 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 49 par25/0949OR 49projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25DundalkBHA495th5th0
2026-09-05NavanBHA5111th11th0
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA559th9th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA555th5th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA556th6th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA461st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0611/0731/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20262nd17/255%94%+0.38
12/06/202610th9/153%36%-0.17
01/07/20263rd11/142%88%+0.45
11/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
25/07/20266th7/163%67%+0.04
05/08/20265th4/179%64%-0.15
31/08/20269th11/142%38%-0.04
05/09/202611th25/10%41%+0.41
25/09/20265th11/142%69%+0.27