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4

Matties Point

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 52

Bellewstown · Bluegrass Horse Feed Handicap (0-60) · 7f 195y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Half-brother to useful 7f winner. Hinted at ability under considerate handling on debut at Dundalk (1¼m). No show at long odds in Leopardstown/Punchestown maidens since. Type to do better now tackling a low-grade handicap for in-form stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13412/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 1346/08C8C8 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f30y Goo 13415/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Punchestown?13th13th0
2026-08-06Leopardstown?12th12th0
2026-07-12Dundalk?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/076/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -16.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
06/08/202612th100/10%15%+0.15
15/09/202613th200/10%8%+0.08