8
Thumama Sands
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 42
Bellewstown · Bluegrass Horse Feed Handicap (0-60) · 7f 195y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 12.2)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | BHA49 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA52 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 11th | 300/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/07/2026 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/08/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |