7
Aquilla Star
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 69
Bellewstown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f 195y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | BHA60 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA64 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA64 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA62 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA63 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | BHA63 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 10/10/2025 | 11th | 250/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 31/07/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 47% | -0.16 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |