1
Duchess Of Kenli
3yo Filly · 10-1 · OR 84
Bellewstown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f 195y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | BHA88 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -24.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |