2

Lady In Gold

3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 79

Bellewstown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f 195y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut form well behind to win 14-runner maiden at Dundalk (1m) in February. Still looked rough around the edges there so further improvement should be forthcoming on turf/handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 12923/01C8C8 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 12920/02C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-20Dundalk?1st1st0
2026-01-23Dundalk?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0120/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +139.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20268th7/282%42%-0.40
20/02/20261st25/10%100%+1.00