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6

Tachos

5yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 71

Bellewstown · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f 195y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Delivered the sort of performance she has been threatening for a while in first-time cheekpieces when winning 8-runner event at Leopardstown (1m) in August, albeit well positioned. Struggled in a much more competitive race there since but can get back on track now reverting to calmer waters.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA84 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m40y Yie 140 · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 84 par8/1084OR 841 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 84 · 1m Std 130 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 84 parBHA83 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m1f120y Yie 133 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 83 par1/0683OR 83BHA82 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 82 · 1m1f Sft 142 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 82 parBHA78 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 78 · 1m Gd 140 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 78 par26/0678OR 78BHA75 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Goo 127 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 75 parBHA72 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 22 · OR 72 · 1m1f Goo 142 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 72 par6/0872OR 72BHA72 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Goo 122 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 72 parBHA72 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 72 · 1m60y Gd 119 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 72 par12/0972OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12LeopardstownBHA7216th16th0
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA721st1st0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA723rd3rd0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA755th5th0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA7811th11th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA829th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1011/066/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20256th9/276%38%-0.39
07/11/202514th80/10%0%0.00
01/06/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
11/06/20269th20/10%33%+0.33
26/06/202611th18/15%47%+0.42
16/07/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
06/08/20263rd11/271%90%+0.19
20/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
12/09/202616th14/126%12%-0.15