4

Banish Misfortune

4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 52

Bellewstown · Johnny Kierans Memorial Handicap (0-60) · 5f 3y

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed first form reverting to positive tactics at Down Royal last time, finishing 5 lengths fifth in a 5f maiden (good, 250/1). Starts life in handicaps off a lowly mark but probably still needs to build on last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 11.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 7f Sft 13819/06C8C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f3y Gd 1343/07C8C8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 13511/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 13518/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 1304/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?5th5th0
2026-08-18Roscommon?15th15th0
2026-07-11Navan?12th12th0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?8th8th0
2026-06-19Limerick?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/063/0711/0718/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +12.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/202616th300/10%0%0.00
03/07/20268th150/10%0%0.00
11/07/202612th250/10%8%+0.08
18/08/202615th300/10%0%0.00
04/09/20265th250/10%64%+0.64