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Dandy Land

4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 57

Bellewstown · Johnny Kierans Memorial Handicap (0-60) · 5f 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved again when scoring by 1¼ lengths from Steel Magnolia (who won next time) at Naas in early-August. Found her progress coming to a halt when beaten 6½ behind that stablemate over the same C&D last time. May well bounce back under good-value claimer, provided she handles contrasting ground.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f180y Yie 1298/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f Std 129C8 @ Dundalk 31/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 12931/10C8BHA54 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 54 · 6f63y Yie 124 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 54 parBHA54 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 54 · 6f Goo 136 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 54 par12/0654OR 54BHA51 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 51 · 5f3y Gd 133 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 51 parBHA51 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 51 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 51 par17/0751OR 51BHA53 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 53 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 53 parBHA60 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR 60 · 5f Goo 142 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 60 par23/0860OR 60projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23NaasBHA608th8th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA531st1st0
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA512nd2nd0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA513rd3rd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA548th8th0
2026-06-03CurraghBHA546th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/103/0617/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20258th33/10%36%+0.36
17/10/20254th125/10%63%+0.63
31/10/20259th125/10%38%+0.38
03/06/20266th33/10%74%+0.74
12/06/20268th7/163%53%-0.10
03/07/20263rd17/255%83%+0.28
17/07/20262nd4/179%90%+0.11
03/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
23/08/20268th5/174%61%-0.13