7
Smart Sioux
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 48
Bellewstown · Johnny Kierans Memorial Handicap (0-60) · 5f 3y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA54 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | BHA57 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | BHA59 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Dundalk | BHA63 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Dundalk | BHA66 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Navan | BHA66 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2025 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 06/08/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 28/08/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/11/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/08/2026 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |