2
Abbotsford
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 96
Bellewstown · Kilsaran Race · 1m 4f 77y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 46% | -0.30 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |