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Count Bezukhov

3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 91

Bellewstown · Kilsaran Race · 1m 4f 77y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

85%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed debut promise fitted with a tongue tie when winning 1¼m maiden at the Curragh in May and continued a theme of gradual progression to make a winning start in handicaps in 8-runner event at Listowel (1¾m, good to soft) 9 days ago. Better still to come so has to be considered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f Gd 13410/05C8C8 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13423/05C82 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m3f197y GF 1369/072BHA87 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 87 · 1m6f55y Yie 140 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 87 par22/0987OR 87projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22ListowelBHA871st1st0
2026-07-09Doncaster23rd3rd0
2026-05-23Curragh?1st1st0
2026-05-10Leopardstown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0523/059/0722/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength78%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14
23/05/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
09/07/20263rd1/195%71%-0.23
22/09/20261st15/890%100%+0.10