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Anightaway

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 53

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 4f 77y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Attracted some support upped in trip and showed first form when winning at Sligo in early-August after 4 months off, seemingly responding well to the greater test and first-time tongue strap. Tailed off at Navan later in the month and first-time cheekpieces are now added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 13.0)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR - · 1m2f10y Gd 1406/09C8C8 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f Yie 139C8 @ Naas 11/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m Yie 13711/10C8BHA52 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 52 parC8 @ Navan 06/12/2025 · Pos 22nd of 25 · OR - · 2m Sft 1616/12C8BHA51 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 18th of 23 · OR 51 · 7f Sft 121 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 51 parBHA51 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 51 · 1m2f Hvy 121 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 51 par30/0351OR 51BHA48 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 48 · 1m5f56y Yie 130 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 48 parBHA54 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 18th of 22 · OR 54 · 1m6f Goo 136 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 54 par27/0854OR 54projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27NavanBHA5418th18th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA481st1st0
2026-03-30NavanBHA518th8th0
2026-03-28CurraghBHA5118th18th0
2025-12-06Navan?22th22th0
2025-11-19DundalkBHA5211th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0919/1130/0327/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength77%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/202516th125/10%12%+0.12
27/09/202513th150/10%14%+0.14
11/10/202510th300/10%40%+0.40
19/11/202511th33/10%23%+0.23
06/12/202522nd200/10%13%+0.13
28/03/202618th150/10%23%+0.23
30/03/20268th33/10%42%+0.42
05/08/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
27/08/202618th11/271%19%-0.52