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11

Haughty

6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 40

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 4f 77y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner over 1m for Alan King in summer of 2023. Yet to get anywhere near that level in Ireland, including on all 4 outings for current connections. Returns to the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA61 @ Leopardstown 19/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 61 · 1m Gd 131 · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 61 par19/0661OR 61BHA62 @ Leopardstown 10/07/2025 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 62 · 1m GF 122 · below its mark10/07/2025 · OR 62 parBHA59 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 59 · 7f195y Goo 141 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 59 par26/0859OR 59BHA54 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m1f58y Goo 136 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 54 parBHA51 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 51 · 7f Std 133 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 51 par17/1051OR 51BHA48 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 48 · 7f Std 130 · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 48 parBHA45 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m5f190y Sft 127 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 45 par3/0545OR 45BHA44 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 44 · 1m2f40y Goo 126 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 44 parBHA43 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 43 · 1m1f110y Goo 125 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 43 par25/0743OR 43projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Roscommon?0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA4312th12th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA448th8th0
2026-05-03SligoBHA4513th13th0
2025-10-29DundalkBHA488th8th0
2025-10-17DundalkBHA516th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0616/093/0525/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20256th50/10%64%+0.64
10/07/202515th66/10%13%+0.13
26/08/202510th25/10%36%+0.36
16/09/20259th22/10%33%+0.33
17/10/20256th33/10%50%+0.50
29/10/20258th16/116%42%+0.26
03/05/202613th50/10%8%+0.08
11/07/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
25/07/202612th33/10%8%+0.08