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Maxwell Smart

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 50

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 4f 77y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has just the one win to his name but typically gave running when sixth of 13 at Down Royal (13f, good) last month. In the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA54 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 54 · 1m4f180y Gd 136 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 54 par15/0554OR 54BHA52 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 52 · 2m Goo 134 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 52 parBHA50 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 50 · 1m5f Goo 132 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 50 par7/0650OR 50C8 @ Downpatrick 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 102 · 2m1f165y Gd 160 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 102 parBHA50 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m6f109y Gd 132 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 50 par2/0750OR 50BHA103 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 103 · 2m1f90y Gd 149 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 103 parBHA50 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 50 · 1m5f56y Yie 132 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 50 par5/0850OR 50BHA51 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 22 · OR 51 · 1m6f Goo 133 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 51 parBHA50 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m4f194y Goo 132 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 50 par4/0950OR 50projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA506th6th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA514th4th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA503rd3rd0
2026-07-12SligoBHA1039th9th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA508th8th0
2026-06-14Downpatrick?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0514/065/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20269th12/137%56%+0.19
29/05/20266th8/158%62%+0.04
07/06/20265th5/174%73%-0.00
14/06/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
02/07/20268th10/382%36%-0.46
12/07/20269th12/137%27%-0.10
05/08/20263rd18/15%85%+0.79
27/08/20264th14/126%86%+0.59
04/09/20266th9/276%58%-0.18