8

One For Teigan

5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 43

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 4f 77y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Again showed nothing on handicap debut/return at Leopardstown (9f, soft) in June. Back up markedly in trip but can only be watched following another absence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 12.6)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 21/10/2024 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f100y Sft 12921/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 13/11/2024 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 12913/11C8C8 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f Hvy 13127/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f Std 1305/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f Std 13426/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 1329/01C8BHA45 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 17th of 17 · OR 45 · 1m1f Sft 127 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 45 par11/0645OR 45projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA4517th17th0
2026-01-09Dundalk?10th10th0
2025-11-26Dundalk?12th12th0
2025-11-05Dundalk?9th9th0
2025-10-27Galway?14th14th0
2024-11-13Dundalk?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/105/1111/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/202413th125/10%14%+0.14
13/11/202413th250/10%8%+0.08
27/10/202514th300/10%7%+0.07
05/11/20259th150/10%0%0.00
26/11/202512th200/10%15%+0.15
09/01/202610th500/10%18%+0.18
11/06/202617th66/10%0%0.00