8

One For Teigan
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 43
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 4f 77y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 12.6)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | BHA45 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Dundalk | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Dundalk | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Dundalk | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2024-11-13 | Dundalk | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2024 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/11/2024 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 27/10/2025 | 14th | 300/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 05/11/2025 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/11/2025 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 09/01/2026 | 10th | 500/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 11/06/2026 | 17th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |