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5

Searcog

4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 49

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 4f 77y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fully exposed as modest in this sphere and has possibly reached her limit as a hurdler, third of 9 in maiden at Sligo (2¼m, good) just over 6 weeks ago. Handicapper has given her a squeak and no surprise if she's involved partnered by a talented claimer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 16/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m Hvy 14716/11C8C8 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR - · 2m Yie 147BHA107 @ Fairyhouse 21/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 107 · 2m110y Hvy 153 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 107 par21/02107OR 107BHA54 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 54 · 1m Goo 136 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 54 parBHA54 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 23 · OR 54 · 1m2f40y Goo 124 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 54 par25/0454OR 54BHA52 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 52 · 1m5f Goo 122 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 52 parBHA105 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 105 · 2m130y Gd 157 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 105 par27/07105OR 105C8 @ Downpatrick 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 105 · 2m1f165y Gd 158 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 105 parC8 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 105 · 2m1f161y Gd 158 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 105 par19/08C8OR 105projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Sligo?3rd3rd0
2026-08-09Downpatrick?2nd2nd0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA1054th4th0
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA524th4th0
2026-04-25NavanBHA548th8th0
2026-04-12LeopardstownBHA544th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1112/0427/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20254th10/147%73%+0.25
27/12/20256th50/10%72%+0.72
21/02/20265th9/276%20%-0.56
12/04/20264th9/153%84%+0.32
25/04/20268th13/266%68%+0.02
17/07/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
27/07/20264th66/10%84%+0.84
09/08/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
19/08/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07