3
Sneddy Eddie
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 53
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 4f 77y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Bellewstown | BHA53 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | BHA90 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA87 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 21st | 200/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/12/2025 | 26th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 30/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |