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6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 58

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 4f 77y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair winner on the Flat at best. Mainly campaigned over hurdles for current yard and has run to a similar level, though was well-beaten fourth of 13 in handicap at Naas (19f) when last seen in January. Switches back to cheekpieces after tried in blinkers last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA113 @ Wexford 28/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 113 · 2m1f Goo 153 · below its mark28/05/2025 · OR 113 par28/05113OR 113BHA111 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 111 · 2m7f116y Goo 157 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 111 parC0 @ Tipperary 01/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f155y Yie 1661/07C?BHA110 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 110 · 2m4f50y Goo 166 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 110 parBHA109 @ Listowel 25/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 109 · 2m4f Goo 155 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 109 par25/09109OR 109BHA107 @ Wexford 27/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 107 · 2m100y Yie 163 · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 107 parBHA109 @ Navan 17/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 109 · 2m4f50y Sft 164 · below its mark17/11/2025 · OR 109 par17/11109OR 109BHA108 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 108 · 2m Sft 170 · below its mark15/12/2025 · OR 108 parBHA111 @ Naas 25/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 111 · 2m2f150y Hvy 158 · below its mark25/01/2026 · OR 111 par25/01111OR 111projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-25NaasBHA1114th4th0
2025-12-15NaasBHA1082nd2nd0
2025-11-17NavanBHA1098th8th0
2025-10-27WexfordBHA1072nd2nd0
2025-09-25ListowelBHA1097th7th0
2025-08-06WexfordBHA1102nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/056/0817/1125/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20255th18/15%56%+0.50
08/06/20254th20/10%81%+0.81
01/07/20255th9/153%73%+0.21
06/08/20252nd6/168%92%+0.24
25/09/20257th6/168%63%-0.06
27/10/20252nd4/179%92%+0.13
17/11/20258th7/163%42%-0.21
15/12/20252nd8/158%93%+0.35
25/01/20264th17/255%75%+0.20