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9

Deuteronomy

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 50

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 4f 77y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to winning ways at Cork (10.5f) in May but hasn't kicked on since, sixth of 14 at Gowran (9.5f) 12 days ago. Is back down in the weights as a result, though is yet to prove himself over this far.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 55 · 1m1f133y Goo 137 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 55 par8/0555OR 55BHA53 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 53 · 1m2f90y Sft 135 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 53 parBHA60 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 60 · 1m1f190y Goo 142 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 60 par5/0660OR 60BHA59 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m1f GF 141 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m2f40y Goo 141 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 59 par11/0759OR 59BHA59 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 59 · 1m3f103y Gd 141 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 59 parBHA57 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m1f110y Goo 139 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 57 par25/0757OR 57BHA53 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR 53 · 1m2f10y Gd 137 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 53 parBHA51 @ Gowran Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m1f100y Yie 121 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 51 par19/0951OR 51projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Gowran ParkBHA516th6th0
2026-09-05NavanBHA539th9th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA579th9th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA598th8th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA595th5th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA595th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0518/0625/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength67%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
19/05/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
05/06/202611th22/10%29%+0.29
18/06/20265th22/10%69%+0.69
11/07/20265th20/10%64%+0.64
15/07/20268th40/10%50%+0.50
25/07/20269th20/10%33%+0.33
05/09/20269th33/10%60%+0.60
19/09/20266th50/10%62%+0.62