10

Duleek Street
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 41
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 4f 77y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-03 | Galway | BHA108 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Bellewstown | BHA49 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-09 | Leopardstown | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-05-07 | Navan | BHA55 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Kelso | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Cartmel | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2023 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 79% | -0.03 |
| 07/07/2023 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 42% | -0.24 |
| 11/08/2023 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 26/08/2023 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 08/10/2023 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 07/05/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.37 |
| 09/04/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |