11
Princess Rosie
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 47
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 4f 77y
#13
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA51 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Down Royal | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Leopardstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/08/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 05/09/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/08/2026 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |