12
Tintinabulla
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 47
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 4f 77y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA49 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | BHA52 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/07/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |