6
Zesty Belle
5yo Mare · 9-11 · OR 55
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 4f 77y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | BHA56 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +14.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 03/08/2026 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |