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Meg's Foxy Grey

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 85

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Delaware Park 07/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m 115 · below its mark07/08/2025 · OR 93 par7/08C7OR 93C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 89 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 89 parC7 @ Aqueduct 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 7f Fas 120 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 88 par7/11C7OR 88C7 @ Aqueduct 19/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 93 · 7f 121 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Aqueduct 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 92 · 7f 124 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 92 par29/03C7OR 92C7 @ Aqueduct 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 86 · 6f Slo 126 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 83 par15/05C7OR 83C7 @ Saratoga 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 6f110y Slo 126 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 83 parC6 @ Saratoga 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 85 par23/08C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-07-30Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2026-05-15Belmont At The Big A?6th7th−1
2026-04-26Aqueduct?5th6th−1
2026-03-29Aqueduct?4th5th−1
2026-02-19Aqueduct?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0819/0215/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength22%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20256th5/287%17%-0.70
16/10/20252nd15/261%86%+0.25
07/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
19/02/20263rd8/1196%60%-0.36
29/03/20264th11/1094%40%-0.54
26/04/20265th10/382%33%-0.49
15/05/20266th11/271%17%-0.54
30/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
23/08/20264th8/158%50%-0.08