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Beira

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 88

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark02/05/2025 · OR 82 par2/05C8OR 82C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 83 parC7 @ Saratoga 23/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark23/07/2025 · OR 87 par23/07C7OR 87C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 89 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 1m 124 · below its mark23/10/2025 · OR 87 par23/10C8OR 87C8 @ Aqueduct 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 91 · 7f 121 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 91 · 1m 118 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 91 par14/05C8OR 91C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Saratoga 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 85 · 1m1f Fas 126 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 85 par26/07C7OR 85projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Saratoga?1st2nd−1
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?5th6th−1
2026-05-14Churchill Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-04-02Aqueduct?3rd5th−2
2025-10-23Belmont At The Big A?2nd4th−2
2025-09-11Belmont At The Big A?9th10th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0511/0914/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
21/06/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
23/07/20253rd11/271%71%+0.00
11/09/20259th5/287%0%-0.87
23/10/20252nd7/491%86%-0.05
02/04/20263rd15/890%60%-0.30
14/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
21/06/20265th11/486%0%-0.86
26/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18