1
Alone Time
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Winter Memories Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
| 2025-11-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |