9
Kokomotion
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 101
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Winter Memories Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 14th | −5 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -27.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |