Queen Of Hawaii
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 106
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Winter Memories Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-10-31 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Leopardstown | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 15th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 31/10/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |