5
Creditworthy
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 105
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Belmont Turf Sprint Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 13th | −5 |
| 2025-06-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2025-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 29/08/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/08/2025 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |