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4

Egyptian Mau

6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 114

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Belmont Turf Sprint Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength14%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: -3.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Turffontein 25/11/2023 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13225/11C1C0 @ Turffontein 03/02/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Turffontein 02/03/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS2/03C?C6 @ Santa Anita 23/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f110y 124C6 @ Del Mar 30/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 103 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 103 par30/08C6OR 103C6 @ Santa Anita 10/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 106 · 6f110y 124 · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 106 parC1 @ Santa Anita 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 105 · 6f110y 124 · beat its mark11/01/2026 · OR 105 par11/01C1OR 105C5 @ Santa Anita 21/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 113 · 6f Gd 124 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 113 parC0 @ Keeneland 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 113 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 113 par12/04C?OR 113projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-12Keeneland?5th5th+0
2026-02-21Santa Anita?6th11th−4
2026-01-11Santa Anita?4th4th0
2025-10-10Santa Anita?1st7th−5
2025-08-30Del Mar?2nd8th−5
2025-01-23Santa Anita?3rd9th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1123/0111/0112/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/11/202313th10/382%0%-0.82
03/02/20245th20/10%60%+0.60
02/03/20248th80/10%13%+0.13
23/01/20253rd25/10%67%+0.67
30/08/20252nd25/10%88%+0.88
10/10/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
11/01/20264th8/158%63%+0.05
21/02/20266th8/158%38%-0.20
12/04/20265th40/10%60%+0.60