Let My People Go
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 105
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Belmont Turf Sprint Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-06-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2025-11-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2025-10-18 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2025-08-31 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 27/06/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 56% | -0.36 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |