4
N'oublie Pas
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Fervaques - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |