5
Nabucco Josselyn
3yo Colt · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Fervaques - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 56% | -0.34 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 78% | -0.15 |