2
Noble Barra
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Fervaques - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | La Capelle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |