13
Norigano
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Fervaques - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#12
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-16 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 6 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -40.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |