9
Kallisto De Lastel
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Cabourg · Prix Des Ophrys - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Graignes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2024 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/12/2024 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/01/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |