10
Kavive
6yo Mare · 9-4
Cabourg · Prix Des Ophrys - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 7 | −2 | ||
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 30/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 31/08/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |