8
Kirella
6yo Mare · 9-2
Cabourg · Prix Des Ophrys - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.08 |
| 11/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 08/07/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 87% | -0.03 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 31/08/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |