2
Kosca Des Caillons
6yo Mare · 8-11
Cabourg · Prix Des Ophrys - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.6
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 7 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-23 | Saint Brieuc | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2024 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 13/01/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/06/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 25/08/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |