13

Lewis D'alexiane

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Perdrix - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Angers 10/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 010/04C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 05/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 11/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 08/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 29/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/07C?C0 @ Caen 20/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 021/10C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 16/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 04 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS15/084projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Meslay Du Maine45th4th+1
2026-08-05Saint-Malo?0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?0
2025-12-26Bordeaux Le Bouscat?0
2025-12-16Bordeaux Le Bouscat?10th10th0
2025-11-07Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/048/0721/1015/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20252nd15/890%93%+0.03
05/05/20254th9/488%73%-0.15
11/06/20253rd9/276%80%+0.04
08/07/20253rd9/276%86%+0.09
29/07/20253rd5/174%88%+0.15
20/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
21/10/20256th7/163%64%+0.01
16/12/202510th13/266%40%-0.26
15/08/20265th40/10%56%+0.56