3
Lord Du Grais
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Perdrix - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Toulouse | 7 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-15 | Toulouse | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2024 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 03/07/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 81% | +0.76 |
| 13/07/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/12/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |