5
Lucifer Meloc
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Perdrix - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Cabourg | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-10 | Reims | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 29/08/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/09/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/12/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/03/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/04/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |